Helmut G. Katzgraber

Quantum-Informed Portfolio Selection: An End-to-End Pipeline Validated on Trapped-Ion Hardware with Real Market Data

Romina Yalovetzky, Martin J. A. Schuetz, Zichang He, Jiayu Shen, Yue Sun, Rudy Raymond, Shauna Sahay, Kishore Perla, Ruben S. Andrist, Grant Salton, Helmut G. Katzgraber, Roger Bongiovanni, Niraj Kumar, Rob Otter

Abstract

Portfolio diversification - a cornerstone of modern investment management - can be formulated as a Maximum Independent Set (MIS) problem on asset correlation graphs. Solving this problem at scale is computationally challenging, motivating the exploration of quantum algorithms for practical financial optimization. We propose an end-to-end pipeline leveraging qReduMIS, a recursive hybrid quantum-classical algorithm. Rather than using quantum optimization to directly produce a final solution, qReduMIS leverages independent set measurements from the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) to identify frozen nodes - vertices likely to belong to optimal solutions - thereby guiding and unblocking subsequent (provably optimal) classical reductions on the remaining graph. We benchmark qReduMIS on real financial data from four major market indices with up to 225 assets, executing experiments on Quantinuum's 98-qubit trapped-ion Helios system, with QAOA circuits acting on kernels of up to 78 qubits and 1016 two-qubit gates. While standalone QAOA fails to find the optimal solution for two of the largest indices (S&P 100 and Nikkei 225), qReduMIS achieves success probabilities of $0.40$ and $0.95$, respectively, with average approximation ratios $\geq 0.96$ across all four indices. We perform a systematic benchmark on the Quantinuum H2-1 noisy emulator over 73 asset correlation graphs of varying size showing that, for $p=2$ QAOA layers, the optimal time-to-solution scaling exponent of qReduMIS is $3.2$ times smaller than that of standalone QAOA.

qReduMIS: A Quantum-Informed Reduction Algorithm for the Maximum Independent Set Problem

Martin J. A. Schuetz [1,2], Romina Yalovetzky [3], Ruben S. Andrist [1], Grant Salton [1,2], Yue Sun [3], Rudy Raymond [3], Shouvanik Chakrabarti [3], Atithi Acharya [3], Ruslan Shaydulin [3], Marco Pistoia [3], Helmut G. Katzgraber [1]

Abstract

We propose and implement a quantum-informed reduction algorithm for the maximum independent set problem that integrates classical kernelization techniques with information extracted from quantum devices. Our larger framework consists of dedicated application, algorithm, and hardware layers, and easily generalizes to the maximum weight independent set problem. In this hybrid quantum-classical framework, which we call qReduMIS, the quantum computer is used as a co-processor to inform classical reduction logic about frozen vertices that are likely (or unlikely) to be in large independent sets, thereby opening up the reduction space after removal of targeted subgraphs. We systematically assess the performance of qReduMIS based on experiments with up to 231 qubits run on Rydberg quantum hardware available through Amazon Braket. Our experiments show that qReduMIS can help address fundamental performance limitations faced by a broad set of (quantum) solvers including Rydberg quantum devices. We outline implementations of qReduMIS with alternative platforms, such as superconducting qubits or trapped ions, and we discuss potential future extensions.